Likely-Feedback
0x63792b1833fb76595e65dd0b91cbd8dea8a8c035
Likely-Feedback: −$5.0K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 21% (95% range 8%–48%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$5.0K
return −30.7%
Settled bets
14
$16K staked
Won
21.4%
95% range 8%–48%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$5.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | SELL Georgia
@ 99.38¢
Georgia vs. Alabama |
Georgia vs. Alabama | $2.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Spirit
@ 56¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $3.3K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $3.4K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Missouri
@ 56¢
Texas A&M vs. Missouri |
Texas A&M vs. Missouri | $2.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Taylor Fritz
@ 78¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | $2.4K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Rafael Jodar
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Rafael Jodar |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Rafael Jodar | $2.4K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Blue Jackets
@ 99.9¢
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets |
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Brandon Nakashima
@ 56¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima | $2.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.