Waterlogged-Glasses

0xdfc983d8c361103661167a59df7bb1e8059e7552

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Waterlogged-Glasses: −$5.7K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 7%–59%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.7K
return −43.4%
Settled bets
8
$13K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 7%–59%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$5.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY Aurora Gaming @ 48¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $2.2K
Oct 10 BUY Spirit @ 35¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $2.7K
Oct 10 BUY Spirit @ 34¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $1.5K
Oct 10 BUY Spirit @ 41¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $1.0K
Oct 9 SELL MOUZ @ 58¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $1.2K
Oct 9 BUY MOUZ @ 59¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $1.2K
Oct 8 BUY Vitality @ 56¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) $1.1K
Oct 7 BUY Natus Vincere @ 59¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed