Authorized-Vision
0xa6a0ef15106e14b2c5422a4d691a2e64ce594469
Authorized-Vision: −$131 on 22 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 35%–73%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$131
return −0.1%
Settled bets
22
$205K staked
Won
54.5%
95% range 35%–73%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$26K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$26K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$657
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | SELL Legacy
@ 99¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 5 | SELL M80
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY FURIA
@ 88¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $5.0K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | $6.3K |
| Oct 3 | SELL MOUZ
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $5.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Vitality
@ 97¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $4.5K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Sangal
@ 75¢
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs Sangal (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B |
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs Sangal (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B | $1.1K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Astralis
@ 45¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.