Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Resolved: Vitality won · See it on Polymarket ↗

25 whales put $133K into this market since Oct 10, 77% of their buying on Vitality. Vitality won. Of the 17 whales whose whole position we captured, 15 made +$27K and 2 lost −$22K: +$4.9K between them.

The whales on this market

25 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
Vitality @ 76¢ $33K — +$10K
Utter-Grandparent-Coral
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 25¢ $18K — −$18K
Whispered-Vacuum
2 settled bets Too few bets
Vitality @ 99.9¢ $14K — +$14
Tinted-Southeast
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $10K —
Stable-Armament
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Vitality @ 53¢ $10K — +$8.9K
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
Vitality @ 77¢ $4.8K $4.0K +$1.4K
Creative-Midwife
170 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 24¢ $4.0K — −$4.0K
Flaky-Integer
277 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Vitality @ 63¢ $3.8K — +$199
Tedious-Pagan
346 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Vitality @ 73¢ $2.9K — +$1.1K
Insistent-Workhorse
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.9K —
Nervous-Parallelogram
346 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Vitality @ 73¢ $2.8K — +$1.0K
Vicious-Poker-Artificer
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.6K —
Writhing-Round
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Vitality @ 77¢ $2.3K — +$690
Worn-Tadpole
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Vitality @ 99.1¢ $2.1K — +$19
Glum-Lottery
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.1K —
Naive-Motel
12 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Quiet-Trader
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Well-Made-Sovereignty
126 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Itchy-Caterpillar
139 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Vitality @ 77¢ $1.4K — +$425
Ashamed-Blackboard
2 settled bets Too few bets
Vitality @ 77¢ $1.3K — +$394
Studious-Kangaroo-Tankful
2 settled bets Too few bets
Vitality @ 53¢ $1.2K — +$1.1K
0xb5de…cabe
21 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Lined-Upward-Pod
1 settled bets Too few bets
Vitality @ 51¢ $1.1K — +$1.1K
Linear-Dolphin-Distortion
2 settled bets Too few bets
Vitality @ 54¢ $1.1K — +$946
Bountiful-Armament
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Vitality @ 93¢ $1.0K — +$77

Where the whale money went

  1. Vitality won
    $81K
    77% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $27K sold
  2. Aurora Gaming lost
    $24K
    23% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.4K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed