Wrathful-Row
0x56c9fbdeccf198f1f5ad95ace39b24f5f7fb0d9e
Wrathful-Row: −$27K on 142 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 54% (95% range 45%–62%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$27K
return −8.9%
Settled bets
142
$307K staked
Won
53.5%
95% range 45%–62%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 70 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.5K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$12K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$13K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Spirit
@ 84¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Spirit
@ 84¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Spirit
@ 93¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Spirit
@ 92¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Spirit
@ 92¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $3.1K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Vitality
@ 74¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Vitality
@ 74¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Qinwen Zheng
@ 82¢
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens |
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens | $2.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.