Big-Hearted-Loggia
0x11e5d9276b80c28d2167db68ae4cff6d8e09337e
Big-Hearted-Loggia: −$8.8K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 21%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$8.8K
return −19.2%
Settled bets
11
$46K staked
Won
45.5%
95% range 21%–72%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$8.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY MOUZ
@ 41¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $5.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Vitality
@ 66¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner | $5.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 47¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $5.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 44¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 52¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $3.4K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 40¢
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) | $2.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $5.8K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Legacy
@ 63¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.