Thorny-Function-Bifocals

0x7f0e0a956c17000ee97fbfe86a65478060364933

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Thorny-Function-Bifocals: −$519 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$519
return −11.2%
Settled bets
4
$4.7K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$262
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$780
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY MOUZ @ 42¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $1.2K
Oct 6 BUY MOUZ @ 50¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Oct 3 BUY Team Yandex @ 64¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner $1.4K
Aug 28 BUY FURIA @ 81¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A $1.1K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed