Polymarket market · Other

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

18 whales put $144K into this market since Oct 4, 78% of their buying on No. Yes won. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$9.9K and 5 lost −$105K: −$96K between them.

In the live feed

$110K from 3 whales, last 24h
BUY $63K
bought No @ 29¢ → lost (−$63K)
Perky-Porch · 15 settled bets · −$259K Can't tell from luck

The whales on this market

18 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Perky-Porch
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 29¢ $63K — −$63K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 28¢ $37K — −$37K
Unfinished-Reason
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 73¢ $10K — +$3.8K
0x929a…a3d8
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 73¢ $4.6K — +$1.7K
Prestigious-Precedence
102 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.6K —
Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 85¢ $3.4K — −$1.1K
Nutritious-Deduce-Past
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 87¢ $3.1K — +$448
Spiffy-Revenue
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 28¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Spiteful-Banquette-Seal
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 73¢ $2.1K — +$791
Showy-Maybe
11 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.1K —
Spiteful-Equal
13 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 73¢ $2.0K — +$740
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 28¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Vivacious-Specialist
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 62¢ $1.9K — +$1.1K
First-Gigantism
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Yellowish-Owner-Nobody
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 72¢ $1.4K — +$532
Illiterate-Counterforce
266 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 82¢ $1.4K — +$298
Squeaky-Horizon
11 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Gruesome-Suffocation
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 73¢ $1.1K — +$409

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $106K
    78% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $3.6K sold
  2. Yes won
    $30K
    22% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $5.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 4 to Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed