Polymarket market · Other

Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

36 whales put $319K into this market since Sep 23, 72% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 27 whales whose whole position we captured, 16 made +$176K and 11 lost −$67K: +$109K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 36
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0x361b…74fe
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 49¢ $140K — +$145K
Unwieldy-Guestbook-Wildebeest
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 52¢ $27K — −$27K
Bad-Documentation
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 72¢ $22K — +$1.8K
Crowded-Jackal
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $13K —
Finished-Stinger-Shoestring
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $11K — −$11K
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 87¢ $11K — +$22
Lovable-Hedge
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $9.7K —
Enraged-Due
176 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 35¢ $2.4K $6.9K +$4.5K
Itchy-Sunlamp-Toad
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $8.6K — −$8.6K
Trim-Winner-Amusement
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 85¢ $7.8K — −$689
Long-Term-Greatness-Veteran
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $4.5K — −$4.5K
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 45¢ $4.3K — +$5.2K
Massive-Registry
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Dishonest-Fedelini
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.4K —
Shiny-Appetizer
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 43¢ $3.2K — +$4.3K
Hateful-Volunteer
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 37¢ $3.1K — −$3.1K
Pleasing-Blank
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Black-And-White-Solitaire
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 36¢ $2.9K — +$5.1K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 55¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Perky-Equivalent
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 85¢ $2.6K — +$450
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 54¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Fickle-Egghead
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
147 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 61¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Dark-Aspect
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 93¢ $1.9K — +$140
Frivolous-Risk
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 69¢ $1.8K — +$827

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $196K
    72% of whale buying · 17 buyers · $28K sold
  2. No lost
    $69K
    25% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $3.5K sold
  3. Yes lost
    $8.7K
    3% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $13K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 23 to Sep 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will England win on 2026-09-26? $81K 22 Won: No
TCU vs. UCF $54K 3 Won: UCF
UConn vs. Miami (OH) $64K 5 Won: Miami (OH)
Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs $52K 8 Won: magic
Wake Forest vs. Louisville $56K 8 Won: Wake Forest
Ole Miss vs. Florida $302K 27 Won: Florida
Texas vs. Tennessee $83K 15 Won: Texas
Hawai'i vs. Wyoming $89K 7 Won: Wyoming
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed