Polymarket market · Other

Texas vs. Tennessee

Resolved: Texas won · See it on Polymarket ↗

15 whales put $83K into this market since Sep 26, 55% of their buying on Tennessee. Texas won. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$13K and 7 lost −$43K: −$30K between them.

The whales on this market

15 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Dual-Criticism
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tennessee @ 34¢ $21K — −$21K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
Texas @ 68¢ $9.8K — +$2.7K
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tennessee @ 35¢ $8.0K — −$8.0K
Sociable-Forgery
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Texas @ 80¢ $7.2K — +$1.8K
Adolescent-Style-Brief
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Texas @ 66¢ $5.0K — +$2.6K
Scary-Fannypack
111 settled bets Beat the odds*
Tennessee @ 34¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Ill-Graft
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Texas @ 77¢ $4.5K — +$1.4K
Sticky-Pepper
8 settled bets Too few bets
Texas @ 66¢ $4.1K — +$2.1K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tennessee @ 22¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Normal-Check
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Texas @ 80¢ $3.8K — −$1.3K
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tennessee @ 8¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Illiterate-Counterforce
254 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Texas @ 69¢ $2.8K — +$1.3K
Green-Birdwatcher
4 settled bets Too few bets
Texas @ 86¢ $2.0K — +$330
Mean-Recruit-Idea
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Texas @ 69¢ $1.7K — +$775
Rural-Networking
2 settled bets Too few bets
Tennessee @ 31¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Tennessee lost
    $45K
    55% of whale buying · 8 buyers
  2. Texas won
    $38K
    46% of whale buying · 9 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed