Finished-Stinger-Shoestring
0x5f38747053bb642bb3ad456c5766ad9e6fb9eb70
Finished-Stinger-Shoestring: −$56K on 36 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 35%–66%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$56K
return −23.0%
Settled bets
36
$242K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 35%–66%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 33 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$9.6K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$9.7K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$56K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 45¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $2.2K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 60¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D | $1.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Over
@ 55¢
Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5 |
Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5 | $2.6K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Rams
@ 48¢
Spread: Rams (-2.5) |
Spread: Rams (-2.5) | $11K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Florida
@ 82¢
Ole Miss vs. Florida |
Ole Miss vs. Florida | $4.7K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 52¢
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? |
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | $11K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Packers
@ 40¢
Spread: Packers (-7.5) |
Spread: Packers (-7.5) | $2.3K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Packers
@ 52¢
Spread: Packers (-4.5) |
Spread: Packers (-4.5) | $17K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.