Massive-Registry
0xaaaa30bb9079a6287eb39dd2c53ef17fc2e374d8
Massive-Registry: −$99K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 35% (95% range 19%–54%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$99K
return −57.6%
Settled bets
26
$172K staked
Won
34.6%
95% range 19%–54%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 26 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$8.2K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$19K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$72K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | BUY Ravens
@ 45¢
Spread: Ravens (-4.5) |
Spread: Ravens (-4.5) | $3.3K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Over
@ 47¢
South Carolina vs. Alabama: O/U 58.5 |
South Carolina vs. Alabama: O/U 58.5 | $1.9K |
| Sep 26 | BUY UConn
@ 46¢
UConn vs. Miami (OH) |
UConn vs. Miami (OH) | $2.1K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 52¢
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? |
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | $3.4K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Under
@ 46¢
Iowa vs. Michigan: O/U 38.5 |
Iowa vs. Michigan: O/U 38.5 | $2.8K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Under
@ 46¢
Iowa vs. Michigan: O/U 38.5 |
Iowa vs. Michigan: O/U 38.5 | $3.9K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Baltimore Orioles
@ 29¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees |
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees | $5.3K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Voca
@ 45¢
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Voca (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Group B |
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Voca (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Group B | $2.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.