Polymarket market · Other

Will England win on 2026-09-26?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

22 whales put $81K into this market since Sep 25, 53% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$4.2K and 9 lost −$21K: −$17K between them.

The whales on this market

22 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Biodegradable-Romaine
15 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $12K —
Zesty-Credit-Maniac
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $11K —
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 75¢ $6.3K — +$706
Gullible-Swimsuit
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 96¢ $6.0K — +$250
0xf584…3979
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.3K —
Double-Bricklaying
141 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 27¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 27¢ $4.3K — −$4.3K
Wasteful-Fourths
12 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 70¢ $4.3K — +$1.8K
Querulous-Futon
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.9¢ $3.7K — +$4
Tame-Ethyl
26 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 27¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 63¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Willing-Proposition
78 settled bets Beat the odds*
sold only $0 $2.4K —
Parallel-Trader
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 76¢ $2.3K — +$720
Straight-Gift
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
0x361b…74fe
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 74¢ $1.8K — +$643
Extraneous-Respite
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 74¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Austere-Bail
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.8¢ $1.5K — +$3
Drab-Funding
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 25¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
International-Deal
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 73¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Proud-Patrolling-Nose
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 31¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Powerful-Begonia
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 24¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $25K
    53% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $14K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $19K
    41% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $7.8K sold
  3. Yes lost
    $3.0K
    6% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $12K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 25 to Sep 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed