Long-Term-Greatness-Veteran

0x322e713038d4174394c7302aa42e04db60b2ef2c

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Long-Term-Greatness-Veteran: +$11K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 54% (95% range 29%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$11K
return +51.0%
Settled bets
13
$22K staked
Won
53.8%
95% range 29%–77%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.1K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$4.5K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$5.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY No @ 46¢
Will Iceland win on 2026-10-06?
Will Iceland win on 2026-10-06? $1.4K
Oct 3 BUY Under @ 53¢
England vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5
England vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 $1.6K
Sep 27 SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) $13K
Sep 27 BUY Under @ 46¢
Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5
Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5 $3.5K
Sep 26 BUY No @ 52¢
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? $4.5K
Sep 26 SELL No @ 41¢
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26? $1.4K
Sep 20 BUY Over @ 41¢
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5 $1.4K
Sep 15 BUY No @ 40¢
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? $2.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed