Crowded-Jackal
0xae2b0aaea325a32870f56ff19df3b87acaa190ea
Crowded-Jackal: +$3.5K on 40 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 28%–58%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$3.5K
return +3.4%
Settled bets
40
$101K staked
Won
42.5%
95% range 28%–58%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 27 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$24K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$16K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$11K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Colts
@ 54¢
Colts vs. Commanders |
Colts vs. Commanders | $1.5K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Bills
@ 37¢
Chargers vs. Bills |
Chargers vs. Bills | $5.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Yes
@ 59¢
Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown |
Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown | $3.0K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Yes
@ 84¢
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? |
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | $13K |
| Sep 24 | BUY
@ 27¢
Spread: Bills (-6.5) AND Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) AND Spread: Packers (-2.5) |
Spread: Bills (-6.5) AND Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) AND Spread: Packers (-2.5) | $9.6K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Yes
@ 13¢
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | $1.6K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Yes
@ 61¢
Kyren Williams: Anytime Touchdown |
Kyren Williams: Anytime Touchdown | $2.0K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Chiefs
@ 62¢
Colts vs. Chiefs |
Colts vs. Chiefs | $5.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.