Unwieldy-Guestbook-Wildebeest

0x59ab5f8f2275ecb3151e7cf61131545d4998f844

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unwieldy-Guestbook-Wildebeest: −$45K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$45K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
3
$45K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–56%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$5.6K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$39K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY No @ 36¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? $6.3K
Oct 1 BUY No @ 36¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? $2.8K
Sep 30 BUY No @ 35¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? $2.5K
Sep 26 BUY No @ 52¢
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? $27K
Aug 27 BUY Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 55¢
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Ignacio Buse $5.6K
Aug 20 SELL Brandon Nakashima @ 99¢
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashima $11K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed