Dishonest-Fedelini

0x4f640f5e3cd7efff96b2aad28fe6be3aac4f9ca2

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dishonest-Fedelini: +$249 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$249
return +23.0%
Settled bets
3
$1.1K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$249
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 SELL @ 99.71¢
W50 Lexington, SC: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Whitney Osuigwe AND Palermo: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Massimo Giunta AND Antofagasta: Nick Hardt vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
W50 Lexington, SC: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Whitney Osuigwe AND Palermo: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Massimo Giunta AND Antofagasta: Nick Hardt vs Felipe Meligeni Alves $1.2K
Oct 7 BUY Marvin Moeller @ 81¢
Braga: Marvin Moeller vs Tiago Torres
Braga: Marvin Moeller vs Tiago Torres $1.1K
Oct 6 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? $2.2K
Oct 5 BUY @ 69¢
Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Sandro Kopp AND Antofagasta: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt
Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Sandro Kopp AND Antofagasta: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt $1.2K
Oct 4 SELL @ 99.9¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils $1.3K
Oct 1 SELL @ 99.92¢
Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith AND Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Chidekh vs Ugo Blanchet
Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith AND Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Chidekh vs Ugo Blanchet $1.4K
Oct 1 BUY @ 41¢
Porto 2: August Holmgren vs Andrea Guerrieri AND Porto 2: Tiago Pereira vs Hugo Grenier
Porto 2: August Holmgren vs Andrea Guerrieri AND Porto 2: Tiago Pereira vs Hugo Grenier $1.5K
Oct 1 SELL @ 99.91¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs AND China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli AND China Open: Ignacio Buse vs Quentin Halys
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs AND China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli AND China Open: Ignacio Buse vs Quentin Halys $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed