Lovable-Hedge
0x556c05432479a26a30b20838a0e39be991adc288
Lovable-Hedge: −$6.3K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$6.3K
return −46.4%
Settled bets
4
$14K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$2.5K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$3.6K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$5.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
In the live feed
BUY
$5.3K
bought Yes
@ 19¢ → now 20¢ (+$138)
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | SELL Yes
@ 65¢
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? |
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | $9.7K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 47¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | $3.6K |
| Sep 3 | BUY No
@ 47¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $6.0K |
| Sep 3 | SELL Yes
@ 44¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $13K |
| Sep 1 | BUY No
@ 43¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $4.1K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.