Polymarket market · Other

Hawai'i vs. Wyoming

Resolved: Wyoming won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $89K into this market since Sep 25, 64% of their buying on Wyoming. Wyoming won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$15K and 3 lost −$8.0K: +$7.0K between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Wordy-Littleneck
322 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $39K —
Noteworthy-Quill-Shadow
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $25K —
Flaky-Campaign
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Wyoming @ 44¢ $11K — +$14K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Wyoming @ 80¢ $6.0K — −$1.5K
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Wyoming @ 51¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Short-Term-Valance
110 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hawaii @ 56¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Careful-Gazebo
99 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Wyoming @ 58¢ $1.4K — +$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Wyoming won
    $16K
    64% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $64K sold
  2. Hawaii lost
    $5.0K
    20% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  3. Wyoming lost
    $3.9K
    16% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 25 to Sep 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed