Admirable-Loss
0x5102078b37376025b1529516409c56f7a5ff7b08
Admirable-Loss: +$4.4K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 30%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$4.4K
return +20.4%
Settled bets
15
$21K staked
Won
53.3%
95% range 30%–75%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$4.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Knicks
@ 51¢
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) |
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Under
@ 51¢
Broncos vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5 |
Broncos vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Under
@ 51¢
Broncos vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5 |
Broncos vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Rams
@ 43¢
Spread: Rams (-5.5) |
Spread: Rams (-5.5) | $1.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY San Jose State
@ 56¢
Spread: Hawai'i (-4.5) |
Spread: Hawai'i (-4.5) | $1.2K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Washington
@ 32¢
Washington vs. USC |
Washington vs. USC | $3.8K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Under
@ 51¢
Malta vs. Gibraltar: O/U 1.5 |
Malta vs. Gibraltar: O/U 1.5 | $1.4K |
| Sep 28 | SELL Eagles
@ 36¢
1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5) |
1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5) | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.