Grown-Difference-Burnout
0x1f3a646ce5cbe2c70270e7a46161d89b7c7b895d
Grown-Difference-Burnout: +$159K on 89 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 46%–66%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$159K
return +13.7%
Settled bets
89
$1.16M staked
Won
56.2%
95% range 46%–66%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 89 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$159K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 70¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | $1.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 70¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | $2.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 70¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | $1.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 90¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | $4.3K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Rangers
@ 57¢
Islanders vs. Rangers |
Islanders vs. Rangers | $1.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Red Wings
@ 92¢
Senators vs. Red Wings |
Senators vs. Red Wings | $2.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Falcons
@ 55¢
Spread: Falcons (-10.5) |
Spread: Falcons (-10.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Saints
@ 23¢
Falcons vs. Saints |
Falcons vs. Saints | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.