Constant-Steak
Skill vs luck
Constant-Steak on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$12. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Constant-Steak: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x90eb32975366558a97fac070cfe58cd0fe95db79. Data CC BY 4.0.
Constant-Steak: +$12 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- +$12
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | BUY Knicks @ 59¢ | Knicks vs. Bulls ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 29 | SELL Cavaliers @ 65¢ | Wizards vs. Cavaliers ↗ | $1.3K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.