Oval-Maternity
0x03f4bd4bd14e0dffa6f012d023387e1a327f7e44
Oval-Maternity: −$8.8K on 25 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 41%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$8.8K
return −11.0%
Settled bets
25
$79K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 41%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 25 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$4.2K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$9.3K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$4.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $3.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 67¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $3.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Czechia
@ 53¢
Spread: England (-2.5) |
Spread: England (-2.5) | $3.9K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 36¢
Will France win on 2026-10-05? |
Will France win on 2026-10-05? | $1.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Czechia
@ 40¢
Spread: Spain (-2.5) |
Spread: Spain (-2.5) | $4.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Cristina Bucsa
@ 69¢
China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa |
China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa | $4.1K |
| Sep 29 | BUY Emerson Jones
@ 87¢
Jingshan: Chenting Zhu vs Emerson Jones |
Jingshan: Chenting Zhu vs Emerson Jones | $5.2K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Tampa Bay Rays
@ 47¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies |
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.