Favorite-Minimum

0x2b51107e8d030397ea728a794405ffbcf1d2e165

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Favorite-Minimum: −$1.6K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.6K
return −28.6%
Settled bets
5
$5.6K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$736
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Jaguars @ 77¢
Eagles vs. Jaguars
Eagles vs. Jaguars $1.2K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 63¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $5.0K
Sep 27 BUY Ravens @ 62¢
Ravens vs. Cowboys
Ravens vs. Cowboys $1.2K
Sep 27 BUY Eagles @ 63¢
Eagles vs. Bears
Eagles vs. Bears $1.3K
Sep 25 BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 66¢
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $1.8K
Sep 16 BUY Yes @ 9¢
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? $1.7K
Sep 13 SELL Anyones Legend @ 99.9¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner $2.2K
Sep 13 SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed