Sparse-Outset
0x67ac9e1ad7d7e74ef0215d14fc8edb538e4fedf1
Profit
−$244K
return −9.2%
Settled bets
299
$2.64M staked
Won
61.9%
95% range 56%–67%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 269 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$165K
Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$158K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$79K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | Bought FlyQuest
at 97¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | $2.5K |
| Oct 7 | Bought FlyQuest
at 66¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $3.8K |
| Oct 7 | Bought FlyQuest
at 73¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | $2.1K |
| Oct 7 | Bought FlyQuest
at 68¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 7 | Bought Shopify Rebellion
at 61¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $2.1K |
| Oct 7 | Bought Shopify Rebellion
at 75¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $2.6K |
| Oct 7 | Bought Shopify Rebellion
at 90¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | $2.8K |
| Oct 7 | Bought Shopify Rebellion
at 68¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $11K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.