Dapper-Pier
Skill vs luck
Dapper-Pier on Polymarket: 13 settled bets · won 23% (95% range 8%–50%) · profit +$1.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Dapper-Pier: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4bb5cc0952d686c7350bc0cb6961b26fc9791d5b. Data CC BY 4.0.
Dapper-Pier: +$1.0K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 23% (95% range 8%–50%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 3 – Sep 17
- −$59
- Sep 17 – Oct 1
- +$1.2K
- Oct 1 – Oct 15
- −$132
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- +$18
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢ | Hornets vs. Pistons ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 29 | BUY Pistons @ 98¢ | Hornets vs. Pistons ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 29 | SELL Cavaliers @ 99.9¢ | Wizards vs. Cavaliers ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 28 | SELL Alba Berlin
@ 99.7¢
Alba Berlin vs. Bilbao Basket |
Alba Berlin vs. Bilbao Basket | $1.4K |
| Oct 13 | SELL Olympiacos B.C.
@ 82¢
Valencia vs. Olympiacos B.C. |
Valencia vs. Olympiacos B.C. | $1.7K |
| Oct 13 | SELL Barcelona
@ 99.9¢
Barcelona vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv |
Barcelona vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv | $1.2K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Valencia
@ 99.9¢
Valencia vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv |
Valencia vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Kosner Baskonia
@ 83¢
Kosner Baskonia vs. Basquet Girona |
Kosner Baskonia vs. Basquet Girona | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.