Excitable-Accelerant
0x481ad4b594ea01eede43ddc16011dc4700cee61a
Excitable-Accelerant: −$597 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$597
return −11.5%
Settled bets
3
$5.2K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$597
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5 |
Games Total: O/U 3.5 | $1.6K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Over
@ 74¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5 |
Games Total: O/U 3.5 | $1.2K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Yes
@ 67¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | $2.0K |
| Aug 22 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? | $2.0K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.