Flustered-Spouse-Bachelor
Skill vs luck
Flustered-Spouse-Bachelor on Polymarket: 10 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 24%–76%) · profit +$3.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Flustered-Spouse-Bachelor: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd17abb0a321360e69a69a8fceccd5ace8fb69900. Data CC BY 4.0.
Flustered-Spouse-Bachelor: +$3.3K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 24%–76%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- +$62
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- +$3.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Rockets @ 51¢ | Rockets vs. Spurs ↗ | $2.4K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Rockets
@ 99.76¢
Rockets vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline |
Rockets vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline | $5.2K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Chinggis Warriors
@ 38¢
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - VOID Autumn Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - VOID Autumn Cup Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5 |
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 23 | SELL Under @ 99.9¢ | Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5 ↗ | $3.9K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Under @ 51¢ | Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5 ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Galions
@ 47¢
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Over
@ 58¢
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5 |
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5 | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?