Noisy-Word
0x14494e6733e86a05888610dfabf3c98eeffea618
Noisy-Word: +$8.5K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 71% (95% range 45%–88%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$8.5K
return +22.8%
Settled bets
14
$37K staked
Won
71.4%
95% range 45%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$1.4K
- Sep 17 – Oct 1
- +$1.0K
- Oct 1 – Oct 15
- +$6.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5%
(2,043 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13 | BUY Middle Tennessee
@ 53¢
Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee |
Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee | $1.1K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Jaguars
@ 68¢
Eagles vs. Jaguars |
Eagles vs. Jaguars | $4.6K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Jaguars
@ 68¢
Eagles vs. Jaguars |
Eagles vs. Jaguars | $1.5K |
| Oct 8 | BUY New Mexico State
@ 59¢
Spread: Florida International (-14.5) |
Spread: Florida International (-14.5) | $2.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Panthers
@ 59¢
Spread: Lions (-6.5) |
Spread: Lions (-6.5) | $4.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Under
@ 67¢
Titans vs. Ravens: O/U 52.5 |
Titans vs. Ravens: O/U 52.5 | $2.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Under
@ 72¢
Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 45.5 |
Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 45.5 | $1.5K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Buccaneers
@ 74¢
Spread: Vikings (-7.5) |
Spread: Vikings (-7.5) | $3.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.