Misty-Request
0x52ecea7b3159f09db589e4f4ee64872fd0bba6f3
Profit
−$166K
return −13.5%
Settled bets
155
$1.23M staked
Won
45.2%
95% range 38%–53%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 155 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$10K
Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$116K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$40K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | Bought Shopify Rebellion
at 29¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.4K |
| Oct 7 | Bought Shopify Rebellion
at 29¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.4K |
| Oct 7 | Bought Shopify Rebellion
at 29¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $4.2K |
| Oct 7 | Bought Shopify Rebellion
at 33¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $7.8K |
| Oct 7 | Bought GAM Esports
at 27¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | Bought GAM Esports
at 25¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | Sold Team Falcons
at 83¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $24K |
| Oct 6 | Bought Team Falcons
at 58¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $24K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.