Caring-User
0x82dca3851445e005b8f21a2814db1439189f5700
Caring-User: +$13K on 89 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 49%–69%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$13K
return +5.4%
Settled bets
89
$237K staked
Won
59.6%
95% range 49%–69%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 89 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$32K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$27K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$7.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Shopify Rebellion
@ 80¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | $4.8K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 41¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 85¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $2.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 35¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 44¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Legacy
@ 55¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.7K |
| Oct 6 | BUY FURIA
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY M80
@ 41¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.