Kaleidoscopic-Camp
0x8afa03dd6974e44d00c4d14dcccb00c0ddf6adb6
Kaleidoscopic-Camp: +$2.5K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 90% (95% range 70%–97%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$2.5K
return +3.4%
Settled bets
20
$74K staked
Won
90.0%
95% range 70%–97%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$395
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$1.9K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$167
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 90¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Iran leadership change by October 31? |
Iran leadership change by October 31? | $1.7K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? |
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 99.4¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $6.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 5? |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 5? | $3.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Iran leadership change by October 31? |
Iran leadership change by October 31? | $4.9K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Iran leadership change by October 31? |
Iran leadership change by October 31? | $3.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.