0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b
0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b
0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b: −$1.6K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.6K
return −9.4%
Settled bets
3
$17K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$121
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 90¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $2.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 92¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | $2.3K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 53¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | $1.9K |
| Sep 9 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? |
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | $15K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | $4.1K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Yes
@ 82¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | $9.3K |
| Aug 25 | BUY No
@ 84¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | $7.8K |
| Aug 23 | SELL No
@ 90¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open? |
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.