Lone-Glutamate

0xc682d7943aad07c246986a7aa2989cfcb17817bb

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Lone-Glutamate: +$1.5K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 51%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.5K
return +9.1%
Settled bets
4
$17K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 51%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.2K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$315
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Yes @ 93¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? $9.3K
Oct 6 BUY No @ 93¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? $9.3K
Sep 30 BUY Yes @ 93¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? $2.3K
Sep 24 BUY No @ 93¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? $4.2K
Sep 23 BUY No @ 92¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? $2.6K
Aug 30 BUY No @ 87¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? $8.7K
Aug 28 SELL No @ 83¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? $1.3K
Aug 27 BUY Yes @ 74¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed