Witty-Conviction
0x134a63b764ac7b008356e8db1857db94e6b09e42
Witty-Conviction: +$1.4K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.4K
return +11.1%
Settled bets
3
$12K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$195
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$1.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 74¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $5.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 81¢
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? |
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $11K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 89¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $8.9K |
| Sep 8 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? |
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | $1.2K |
| Aug 21 | BUY No
@ 92¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | $2.2K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.