Stable-Fog
0x1de92e091804c709f5e06bf1d132f946e673831d
Stable-Fog: +$1.1K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 57%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.1K
return +7.8%
Settled bets
5
$14K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 57%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$1.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $4.8K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | $3.9K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $2.9K |
| Oct 5 | SELL No
@ 97¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $2.9K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $3.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $1.3K |
| Sep 30 | SELL No
@ 97¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | $4.9K |
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.