Worn-Tanker

0xc97b0b2a2547bb3ed57167092ef8a6e816c347e5

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Worn-Tanker: +$191 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 41%–93%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$191
return +0.5%
Settled bets
8
$39K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 41%–93%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$65
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$105
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$21
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 BUY No @ 98¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? $4.8K
Oct 8 BUY No @ 97¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? $1.5K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 94¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? $9.4K
Sep 25 BUY No @ 99.08¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in September?
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in September? $2.3K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 96¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? $1.1K
Sep 17 BUY No @ 96¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? $2.0K
Sep 17 BUY No @ 99.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? $7.4K
Sep 16 BUY No @ 99¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? $4.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed