Wooden-Prescription

0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Wooden-Prescription: +$2.9K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 25%–84%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.9K
return +5.5%
Settled bets
7
$53K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 25%–84%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2.1K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$5.0K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$10
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? $10K
Sep 23 BUY Yes @ 63¢
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? $6.3K
Sep 21 BUY Yes @ 55¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? $22K
Sep 21 BUY Yes @ 91¢
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? $1.1K
Sep 20 BUY Yes @ 66¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? $1.6K
Sep 20 BUY Yes @ 80¢
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? $5.5K
Sep 20 BUY No @ 90¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? $1.4K
Sep 20 BUY No @ 95¢
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed