Nimble-Soliloquy
0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc
Nimble-Soliloquy: +$487 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 61%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$487
return +0.7%
Settled bets
6
$75K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 61%–100%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$291
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$80
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$116
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 92¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | $12K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $4.7K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 99.8¢
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $10K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 99.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $9.9K |
| Aug 31 | SELL No
@ 93¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $9.3K |
| Aug 28 | BUY No
@ 99.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | $44K |
| Aug 26 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | $5.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.