Both-Seaside-Approach

0xded8a46ee5fa25b550689176ab7c58c2d44eca0f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Both-Seaside-Approach: +$979 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$979
return +10.8%
Settled bets
5
$9.1K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$11
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$955
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$13
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 21 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? $1.2K
Sep 20 SELL Yes @ 93¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? $2.1K
Sep 16 BUY No @ 96¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Xi Jinping out before 2027? $2.7K
Sep 16 BUY Yes @ 86¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? $4.3K
Sep 16 SELL No @ 91¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? $17K
Sep 16 SELL No @ 96¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Xi Jinping out before 2027? $8.9K
Sep 14 BUY Yes @ 83¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? $2.5K
Sep 14 SELL No @ 99.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? $30K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed