Terrific-Battleship

0xd5ccdf772f795547e299de57f47966e24de8dea4

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Terrific-Battleship: +$224 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$224
return +1.6%
Settled bets
3
$14K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$224
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 24 BUY No @ 81¢
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? $9.8K
Sep 22 BUY Yes @ 99.69¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? $2.0K
Sep 22 BUY Yes @ 88¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? $1.0K
Sep 22 BUY Yes @ 97¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? $6.1K
Sep 20 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15?
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15? $2.4K
Sep 20 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15?
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15? $6.3K
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 70¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? $8.9K
Sep 18 SELL No @ 95¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? $7.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed