Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2ed
Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist: −$13K on 51 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 92% (95% range 82%–97%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$13K
return −6.3%
Settled bets
51
$212K staked
Won
92.2%
95% range 82%–97%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 49 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$7.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$7.7K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$1.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | $3.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31? |
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31? | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Siniša Karan be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? |
Will Siniša Karan be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | $6.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Branko Blanuša be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? |
Will Branko Blanuša be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | $4.7K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | $7.9K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Iran leadership change by December 31? | $2.7K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $2.9K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.