Showy-Downgrade
0xa20924e5daa77c491b0700f045eff43a61f7ffbe
Showy-Downgrade: −$1.9K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 39%–86%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.9K
return −12.8%
Settled bets
12
$15K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 39%–86%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$1.3K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$3.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 27¢
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-10-09? |
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-10-09? | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 69¢
Will Algeria vs. Niger end in a draw? |
Will Algeria vs. Niger end in a draw? | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 76¢
Will Russia vs. Nigeria end in a draw? |
Will Russia vs. Nigeria end in a draw? | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
Will Russia win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Russia win on 2026-10-06? | $1.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 67¢
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? | $1.4K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 83¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | $1.5K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 52¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? |
Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.