Silver-Cart-Hospitalisation

0xcb7233254f59bdb4b865f712deb763fbc84d291f

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Silver-Cart-Hospitalisation: +$717 on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 30%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$717
return +2.5%
Settled bets
15
$28K staked
Won
53.3%
95% range 30%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$1.1K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$6.8K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$6.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY Over @ 54¢
Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5
Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5 $2.7K
Oct 3 BUY Over @ 52¢
Iceland vs. Bulgaria: O/U 2.5
Iceland vs. Bulgaria: O/U 2.5 $1.9K
Oct 1 BUY Gibraltar @ 49¢
Spread: Malta (-1.5)
Spread: Malta (-1.5) $1.4K
Oct 1 BUY No @ 54¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? $1.7K
Oct 1 BUY No @ 54¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? $1.7K
Sep 29 BUY Over @ 52¢
San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5
San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5 $1.0K
Sep 27 BUY Over @ 43¢
Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5
Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5 $1.0K
Sep 19 BUY Over @ 51¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5 $1.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed