Smoggy-Repayment
0xd202932816d95567818063a3cf022bbdfb491ef5
Smoggy-Repayment: −$1.5K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 30% (95% range 11%–60%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.5K
return −30.4%
Settled bets
10
$4.9K staked
Won
30.0%
95% range 11%–60%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.6K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$642
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$500
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY Over
@ 67¢
Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 |
Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Over
@ 66¢
Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 |
Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 71¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | $1.2K |
| Sep 28 | BUY No
@ 50¢
Will CF América win on 2026-09-27? |
Will CF América win on 2026-09-27? | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Under
@ 62¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 |
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.9K |
| Sep 17 | SELL No
@ 75¢
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-16? |
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-16? | $1.5K |
| Sep 17 | BUY No
@ 76¢
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-16? |
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-16? | $1.5K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Over
@ 50¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5 |
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5 | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.