Pristine-Hatred

0x0a39b3b29ab3b7dd753aa96fde4ecab3f2dbb0b9

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
−$182K
return −12.4%
Settled bets
96
$1.47M staked
Won
44.8%
95% range 35%–55%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 95 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$61K Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$153K Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$32K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 Bought No at 47¢
Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?
Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? $5.3K
Oct 3 Bought Under at 42¢
Croatia vs. England: O/U 2.5
Croatia vs. England: O/U 2.5 $10K
Oct 3 Bought No at 44¢
Will England win on 2026-10-03?
Will England win on 2026-10-03? $2.1K
Oct 3 Bought No at 44¢
Will England win on 2026-10-03?
Will England win on 2026-10-03? $2.2K
Oct 3 Bought No at 44¢
Will England win on 2026-10-03?
Will England win on 2026-10-03? $2.2K
Oct 2 Bought No at 44¢
Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?
Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02? $5.0K
Oct 2 Bought Yes at 45¢
Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02?
Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02? $4.3K
Oct 1 Bought No at 56¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? $2.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed