Cautious-Quince
0x72e2c237e76b4ffada94ff347cdad511559b6610
Cautious-Quince: −$7.8K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 87% (95% range 68%–96%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$7.8K
return −9.4%
Settled bets
23
$83K staked
Won
87.0%
95% range 68%–96%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 22 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$522
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$2.0K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$10K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Buccaneers
@ 97¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $10K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Cowboys
@ 90¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $1.9K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | $2.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Falcons
@ 89¢
Falcons vs. Saints |
Falcons vs. Saints | $5.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY 49ers
@ 91¢
Broncos vs. 49ers |
Broncos vs. 49ers | $5.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Vikings
@ 92¢
Dolphins vs. Vikings |
Dolphins vs. Vikings | $3.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Packers
@ 89¢
Packers vs. Buccaneers |
Packers vs. Buccaneers | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY
@ 87¢
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina AND Boston College vs. SMU |
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina AND Boston College vs. SMU | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.