Exemplary-Shoreline
0xa6d188fb70c2e2e9ad411c42c02379ed3020286a
Exemplary-Shoreline: +$22K on 54 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 42%–68%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$22K
return +12.9%
Settled bets
54
$173K staked
Won
55.6%
95% range 42%–68%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 52 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$8.8K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$23K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$36K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Rosenborg BK
@ 50¢
Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5) |
Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5) | $2.3K |
| Oct 10 | BUY FC Augsburg
@ 52¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) |
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | $2.9K |
| Oct 10 | BUY FC Augsburg
@ 52¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) |
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | $3.5K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 |
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 55¢
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-09? | $5.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 53¢
Will Finland win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Finland win on 2026-10-06? | $2.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 52¢
Will Finland win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Finland win on 2026-10-06? | $6.8K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Czechia
@ 52¢
Spread: England (-2.5) |
Spread: England (-2.5) | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.