Imperturbable-Benefit-Bartender
0x2dfa4e79eca44b7c774f40a45535adbc368a6f60
Imperturbable-Benefit-Bartender: +$41K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 61% (95% range 39%–80%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$41K
return +7.8%
Settled bets
18
$529K staked
Won
61.1%
95% range 39%–80%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$26K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$94K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$109K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 45¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $2.7K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 44¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $5.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 40¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $48K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 30¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $7.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 46¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $3.6K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 32¢
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic |
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic | $6.2K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 73¢
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? | $5.4K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.