Heavenly-Apology

0x00110b8ef00db2a1a6bbe1198e52fc4eb5a84333

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Heavenly-Apology: +$3.3K on 32 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 78% (95% range 61%–89%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$3.3K
return +6.0%
Settled bets
32
$55K staked
Won
78.1%
95% range 61%–89%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 32 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$6.2K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$2.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY No @ 82¢
Will Clermont Foot 63 win on 2026-10-10?
Will Clermont Foot 63 win on 2026-10-10? $1.0K
Oct 9 BUY Yes @ 57¢
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-10-09?
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-10-09? $1.5K
Oct 6 BUY Yes @ 94¢
Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-06?
Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-06? $1.5K
Oct 6 BUY England @ 88¢
Spread: England (-1.5)
Spread: England (-1.5) $1.5K
Oct 5 BUY Over @ 84¢
France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5
France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5 $1.3K
Oct 5 BUY Llaneros FC @ 69¢
Spread: América de Cali (-1.5)
Spread: América de Cali (-1.5) $1.5K
Oct 3 BUY CA Mineiro @ 92¢
Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)
Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5) $1.5K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 91¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed